Friday, April 15, 2011

9% GDP growth rate in 2011-12 difficult: Montek Singh Ahluwalia

NEW DELHI: Concerned over high headline inflation, the Planning Commission on Friday raised doubts over clocking the targeted 9 per cent economic growth in the current fiscal.

"We may not hit 9 per cent (economic growth rate in 2011-12). 6 per cent is the rate of inflation which we should be willing to accept this fiscal," Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia told reporters here.

The government and the Planning Commission had earlier projected a growth rate of 9 per cent during 2011-12, up from 8.6 per cent in the previous fiscal.

Referring to rise in headline inflation to 8.98 per cent in March from 8.31 per cent in February, Ahluwalia said, "inflation has been a concern. It has not come under control as much as I had hoped. There is need to use fiscal and monetary policy to get rid of supply constraint wherever they exist."

Referring to growth prospects in the current fiscal, he said, it may be difficult to achieve 6 per cent farm sector growth expected to be recorded during 2010-11.

"There is no chance for agriculture to grow at 6 per cent this fiscal, it may probably grow at 3 per cent", he said.

He pointed out, "Even to stay at 8.6 per cent GDP growth this fiscal, industry will have to do much better. Now industry has done about 7.8 per cent in 2009-10 (so far till February end)".

According to the latest data, the index of industrial production for April-February last fiscal stood at 7.8 per cent and the factory output dipped to 3.6 per cent in the month of February as compared to 3.9 in January.

Exuding confidence of maintaining growth momentum this fiscal, Ahluwalia said, "Between 8.6 to 9 per cent (GDP growth this fiscal) there is no big deal. I think the down side of 9 per cent is more relevant", he said adding it will not be "way off" (the 9 per cent mark).

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